Hertsmere will be a coronavirus hotspot for the next two weeks, according to researchers.

Analysis carried out by Imperial College London suggests the borough has an 86 per cent chance of being a hotspot on the week ending October 3.

The definition of a hotspot, according to the researchers, is when weekly reported cases exceed 50 per 100,000 in the population.

By the end of this week (September 26), Hertsmere is 80 per cent likely to be a hotspot, the figures showed.

Watford Observer:

Neighbouring Watford and Three Rivers are predicted to not be a coronavirus hotspot, with cases for the next two weeks predicted to remain below 50 per 100,000 population.

As of 4pm today (September 21), Government data shows 11 new cases were found on Thursday (September 17) and it was the third time in a week where daily positive tests reached double figures.

But it also shows that between September 17-20, only one case of coronavirus was identified in the borough - however it normally takes around three days for most cases to be confirmed.

The weekly rate of new coronavirus cases to September 18th in Hertsmere is 38.1 per 100,000 population, which is the highest rate in the south of England.

This is a drop from 46.0 for the seven days to September 17.

Since the outbreak in late August in Hertsmere, councils, the emergency services, and public health officials have been out and about across Hertsmere, particularly at weekends, chatting with the public, warning them about the rise in Covid-19 cases as well as reminding them how they can stay safe.

Targeted action has taken place in Borehamwood, Radlett, and Potters Bar.

In a tweet, Hertsmere Borough Council said: “Hertsmere is still an area of concern because of the number of Covid-19 infections in the area.

“We're out and about again this weekend reminding everyone how they can help keep our community safe.

“Wash your hands, keep your distance, wear a face covering & if you've been in contact with someone who's tested positive for Covid-19, self-isolate for 14 days.”

To see the Imperial College map click here